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Title: 2050 Storage, demand shifting, backup costs Content: h1 Michael Clark changes (currently in the spreadsheet) h1 To do/issues * No costs for demand shifting * No cost range for interconnector * Does the gas standby correctly cause a charge for the gas it consumes? h1 Data Markal06 Power sector spreadsheet Hydro pumped storage is low cost and micro (<1.25MW) is high cost Interconnector is assumed to be the dummy variable for electricity imports Back up CCGT is referenced directly from: 2050 Conventional thermal plant costs h1 Tom Counsell methodology There are four elements that need to be costed: # Gas standby generation - done # Pumped storage - done # Interconnection - tbd # Electric vehicle demand shifting - tbd h1 Gas standby generation Initial set of costs taken from range on page 77 of MottMac10. These exclude interest during construction (IDC). Need to figure out what to do about that. Note that these costs are for a CCGT. It is possible that cheaper, but less efficient, OGTs would be used. Need to figure out a cost for those. h2 Size No particular evidence for 1GW typical size. MottMac10 use 830 MW. h2 Life MottMac10 suggests a 20 to 30 year operating life. Because of the very low utilisation if it is as a dedicated standby plant, we assume that any built 2010 to 2050 will last beyond 2050 (e.g., up to 40 year life). h2 Operating costs The MottMac10 has a variable and a fixed operating cost. Assuming that all this is actually fixed operating cost. h2 Low costs MottMac10 nth of a kind costs low. h2 High costs MottMac10 first of a kind costs high. h1 Pumped storage Initial set of costs taken from Annex EH-III v3 of Markal3.24Doc.This provides a single estimate, so currently added a +/- 50% to get a fuller range. Underlying data source is said to be the US EPA. Unclear whether cost of energy to store is factored into this. 2050 Pathway balances over a year, so I think we can assume no energy cost. h2 Comparators Dinorwig cost £420m (1983) to build and £5m (1983) to run[http://books.google.co.uk/books?id=z0Z3DxacC9IC&pg=PA457&lpg=PA457&dq=dinorwig+£425+million&source=bl&ots=O2Ixg4eXU8&sig=GT91GlMM9GLN4nISC3NL18Suuxo&hl=en&ei=9aJdTZq1KIqv8QOIpPWwCw&sa=X&oi=book_result&ct=result&resnum=5&ved=0CDcQ6AEwBA#v=onepage&q=dinorwig%20£425%20million&f=false] h2 Size Using 1.8 GW, based on the size of Dinorwig. h2 Life Assume these last beyond 2050. Markal3.24Doc suggests life of 50 years. h2 Operating costs For the variable component of the operating cost: arbitrarily assume that the pumped storage completely discharges once a week (52 times a year). h2 Low costs 50% below Markal cost. h2 High costs 50% above Markal cost. Category: 2050 pathway costs User: Tom Counsell Picture updated at: Signed off by: Signed off at: |
Title: VII.c Storage, demand shifting, interconnection Costs Content: h1 Technologies costed in this sector * Interconnector - Please click on: INTERCONNECTION COST DATA * Pumped Storage - Please click on: PUMPED STORAGE - HYDRO COST DATA * Battery storage - BATTERY STORAGE COST DATA * Compressed air storage - COMPRESSED AIR STORAGE COST DATA Excluded are costs of shifting demand for electric cars. Note hydrogen storage is also not considered here because this was not used to derive our technical assumptions on storage capacity. h1 Costs Methodology h2 Methodology used This section of the Calculator is slightly different from the other sectors in that it calculates the consequences on electricity grid balancing of all the other low carbon choices made in the Calculator. The methodology used is to model a stress test and then calculate the CCGT back up generation required once the options chosen by the user of interconnector, pumped hydro storage, battery/compressed air storage and demand shifting from electric cars are exhausted. The stress test chosen is a 5 day cold snap where intermittent renewables output is only a fraction of average output and heating demand increases significantly. For full technical assumptions please see our latest analytical report.[ Page 67, 2.A.C Electricity Balancing http://www.decc.gov.uk/assets/decc/Consultations/2050/1344-2050-pathways-analysis-response-pt2.pdf] The cost calculated in this section is therefore the cost of back up, storage and interconnection of the electricity grid to ensure supply and demand is balanced during peak demand and reduced supply. Please see 2050 Methodology for a full description of the costs approach in the Calculator. h2 Methodology issues and questions to stakeholders * We have assumed demand shifting from electric cars would be largely a potential welfare loss, either achieved through pricing incentives or regulation but would not be a resource cost. Are there any resource costs associated with demand shifting? * Are there any other demand side responses from the technologies assumed in the Calculator that could reduce demand? Do they have a resource cost? h1 Technical Assumptions h2 Gas standby generation Life - MottMac10 suggests a 20 to 30 year operating life. Because of the very low utilisation if it is as a dedicated standby plant, we assume that any built 2010 to 2050 will last beyond 2050 (e.g., up to 40 year life). h2 Pumped Storage Size - 1.8 GW [Based on the size of Dinorwig] Life - Assume these last beyond 2050 [Markal3.24Doc suggests life of 50 years] Operation - For the variable component of the operating cost: arbitrarily assume that the pumped storage completely discharges once a week (52 times a year). Category: Sector by sector cost assumptions h1 General Comments Please use this space to make any general comments. Please add your name when commenting. User: Joseph Downie Picture updated at: Signed off by: Signed off at: |