workings and assumptions behind this marginal abatement cost data

Title: workings and assumptions behind this marginal abatement cost data

Content: Emissions trajectories from DfT, assuming these are for a constant fuel mix, assuming they are CO2 not CO2e										

| (MtCO2e) | *2007* | *2010* | *2015* | *2020* | *2025* | *2030* | *2035* | *2040* | *2045* | *2050* |
| *Level 1* | 38.2 | 33.45 | 37.88 | 42.88 | 45.53 | 47.80 | 50.69 | 51.85 | 52.30 | 50.19 |
| *Level 2* | 38.2 | 33.45 | 37.58 | 41.68 | 44.03 | 46.20 | 48.79 | 49.86 | 50.10 | 48.09 |
| *Level 3* | 38.2 | 33.45 | 37.58 | 40.88 | 42.13 | 43.10 | 44.79 | 45.15 | 45.40 | 43.69 |
| *Level 4* | 38.2 | 33.45 | 37.48 | 40.68 | 41.83 | 42.00 | 41.69 | 38.26 | 37.40 | 35.39 |

| Cost £m (assume -ve means cost) | 2007 | 2010 | 2015    | 2020    | 2025    | 2030    | 2035     | 2040     | 2045     | 2050     |
| Level 1                         | 0    | 0    | 0       | 0       | 0       | 0       | 0        | 0        | 0        | 0        |
| Level 2                         | 0    | 0    | 2.85    | 11.41   | 31.70   | 50.08   | 70.37    | 88.75    | 108.08   | 118.75   |
| Level 3                         | 0    | 0    | 2.85    | -23.93  | -52.25  | -86.89  | -106.37  | -118.92  | -99.58   | -75.66   |
| Level 4                         | 0    | 0    | -158.72 | -347.07 | -334.78 | -211.38 | -2103.20 | -1854.99 | -4244.78 | -1750.18 |

| Implied abatement from level 1 (MtCO2e) | 2007 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040  | 2045  | 2050  |
| Level 1                                 | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0     | 0     | 0     |
| Level 2                                 | 0    | 0    | -0.3 | -1.2 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -1.9 | -2    | -2.2  | -2.1  |
| Level 3                                 | 0    | 0    | -0.3 | -2   | -3.4 | -4.7 | -5.9 | -6.7  | -6.9  | -6.5  |
| Level 4                                 | 0    | 0    | -0.4 | -2.2 | -3.7 | -5.8 | -9   | -13.6 | -14.9 | -14.8 |



User: Daniel Lord

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Title: workings and assumptions behind this marginal abatement cost data

Content: Emissions trajectories from DfT, assuming these are for a constant fuel mix, assuming they are CO2 not CO2e										

| (MtCO2e) | *2007* | *2010* | *2015* | *2020* | *2025* | *2030* | *2035* | *2040* | *2045* | *2050* |
| *Level 1* | 38.2 | 33.45 | 37.88 | 42.88 | 45.53 | 47.80 | 50.69 | 51.85 | 52.30 | 50.19 |
| *Level 2* | 38.2 | 33.45 | 37.58 | 41.68 | 44.03 | 46.20 | 48.79 | 49.86 | 50.10 | 48.09 |
| *Level 3* | 38.2 | 33.45 | 37.58 | 40.88 | 42.13 | 43.10 | 44.79 | 45.15 | 45.40 | 43.69 |
| *Level 4* | 38.2 | 33.45 | 37.48 | 40.68 | 41.83 | 42.00 | 41.69 | 38.26 | 37.40 | 35.39 |

| Cost £m (assume -ve means cost) | 2007 | 2010 | 2015    | 2020    | 2025    | 2030    | 2035     | 2040     | 2045     | 2050     |
| Level 1                         | 0    | 0    | 0       | 0       | 0       | 0       | 0        | 0        | 0        | 0        |
| Level 2                         | 0    | 0    | 2.85    | 11.41   | 31.70   | 50.08   | 70.37    | 88.75    | 108.08   | 118.75   |
| Level 3                         | 0    | 0    | 2.85    | -23.93  | -52.25  | -86.89  | -106.37  | -118.92  | -99.58   | -75.66   |
| Level 4                         | 0    | 0    | -158.72 | -347.07 | -334.78 | -211.38 | -2103.20 | -1854.99 | -4244.78 | -1750.18 |

Implied abatement from Level 1 (MtCO2e) 

|         | 2007 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040  | 2045  | 2050  |
| Level 1 | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0    | 0     | 0     | 0     |
| Level 2 | 0    | 0    | -0.3 | -1.2 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -1.9 | -2    | -2.2  | -2.1  |
| Level 3 | 0    | 0    | -0.3 | -2   | -3.4 | -4.7 | -5.9 | -6.7  | -6.9  | -6.5  |
| Level 4 | 0    | 0    | -0.4 | -2.2 | -3.7 | -5.8 | -9   | -13.6 | -14.9 | -14.8 |



User: Daniel Lord

Picture updated at: 

Signed off by: 

Signed off at: