XII.b Domestic freight Costs

Title: XII.b Domestic freight Costs

Content: h1 Costs Summary

h2 Technology Costs

See also:

# Road Freight http://2050-wiki.greenonblack.com/cost_categories/31

# Rail Freight http://2050-wiki.greenonblack.com/cost_categories/33

Technologies costed in this sector:

* Road Freight – ICE and Electric
* Rail Freight – Diesel and Electric 

h1 Costs Methodology

h2 Methodology Used

The user decides which trajectory is used which defines the levels of the technologies.  The model applies the levels/quantities of these technologies to the input costs to provide an annual and total cost to 2050.  The model covers both capex and opex.

For all technologies of CAR, BUS, RAIL and AIR MARKAL and ESME input assumptions have been used.  These are the latest available assumptions with updates from DfT applied.

In order to derive a range for the cost figures, 2000 figures are used for the high and 2050 for the low where these differ in MARKAL.

MARKAL costs in billion veh kms per annum are converted into vehicles required using MARKAL estimates of average annual kms per technology.  Costs then spread over assumed life-time per technology using MARKAL estimates of vehicle life.  Each trajectory in the 2050 Calculator indicates distances by technology.  These are converted into vehicles required using MARKAL assumption of average annual km by technology and the resultant required vehicles is costed against the per unit cost.

h1 Technical Assumptions

Vehicle Technical Lifetime:

* Rail freight 30yrs
* Road freight 7yrs

h1 Questions to Stakeholders

1)Some scenarios result in conventional technologies being scrapped before the end of their technical life.  The model currently does not place a potential resale value on these vehicles.  Should a resale or export value be assigned to these vehicles?

2)It is understood that MARKAL costs exclude infrastructure costs (including highways, highway infrastructure, rail infrastructure, electric veh charging points etc) – though rail does have a forecast that does include electrification costs.

3) The model uses high and low input cost assumptions.  What is the evidence that these remain constant, rise or fall over time for the transport sector?

h1 Phase I Admin

Lead and sign-off 2050 Costs team lead - Daniel Lord

Working-level analyst - Catherine Smith, Nazmiye Ozkan.

Category: sector by sector cost assumptions



User: Neil Fleming

Picture updated at: 

Signed off by: 

Signed off at: